**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Busan on September 11 around 19–21°C, driven by northeasterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no active weather systems.** Northeast winds of 8–15 mph (roughly 13–24 km/h) promote moderate mixing and limit overnight radiative cooling, while dew points near 12–15°C and humidity levels of 60–85% support stable conditions typical of early autumn transition in the region. Historical September averages for Busan lows hover near 19°C, providing climatological context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities around 18–20°C. The closely matched odds between 25°C+ (41%) and 15°C or below (40%) reflect trader awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges—such as minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized urban heat island effects—while specific temperature bins cluster where ensemble guidance converges. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will likely refine the exact minimum as the 24-hour window approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Busan em 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Busan em 11 de setembro?
25°C ou mais 45%
15°C ou menos 44%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
15°C ou menos
44%
16°C
14%
17°C
9%
18°C
31%
19°C
33%
20°C
26%
21°C
16%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
13%
25°C ou mais
45%
25°C ou mais 45%
15°C ou menos 44%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
44%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$1 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
33%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Busan on September 11 around 19–21°C, driven by northeasterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no active weather systems.**
Northeast winds of 8–15 mph (roughly 13–24 km/h) promote moderate mixing and limit overnight radiative cooling, while dew points near 12–15°C and humidity levels of 60–85% support stable conditions typical of early autumn transition in the region. Historical September averages for Busan lows hover near 19°C, providing climatological context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities around 18–20°C.
The closely matched odds between 25°C+ (41%) and 15°C or below (40%) reflect trader awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges—such as minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized urban heat island effects—while specific temperature bins cluster where ensemble guidance converges. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will likely refine the exact minimum as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Busan on September 11 around 19–21°C, driven by northeasterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no active weather systems.**
Northeast winds of 8–15 mph (roughly 13–24 km/h) promote moderate mixing and limit overnight radiative cooling, while dew points near 12–15°C and humidity levels of 60–85% support stable conditions typical of early autumn transition in the region. Historical September averages for Busan lows hover near 19°C, providing climatological context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities around 18–20°C.
The closely matched odds between 25°C+ (41%) and 15°C or below (40%) reflect trader awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges—such as minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized urban heat island effects—while specific temperature bins cluster where ensemble guidance converges. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will likely refine the exact minimum as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Busan on September 11 around 19–21°C, driven by northeasterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no active weather systems.** Northeast winds of 8–15 mph (roughly 13–24 km/h) promote moderate mixing and limit overnight radiative cooling, while dew points near 12–15°C and humidity levels of 60–85% support stable conditions typical of early autumn transition in the region. Historical September averages for Busan lows hover near 19°C, providing climatological context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities around 18–20°C. The closely matched odds between 25°C+ (41%) and 15°C or below (40%) reflect trader awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges—such as minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized urban heat island effects—while specific temperature bins cluster where ensemble guidance converges. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will likely refine the exact minimum as the 24-hour window approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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