Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding lead in the KS-02 House race, reflected in the 95% trader consensus, due to the district’s consistent Republican lean (R+10 PVI) and his decisive primary victory. Schmidt secured nearly 80% of the Republican primary vote on August 4, 2026, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with his 2024 margin. Democratic nominee Don Coover, a veterinarian and veteran who won his primary unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a district covering much of eastern Kansas. Realistic shifts in odds would require major developments such as unexpected national political swings, significant turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late-campaign developments that alter the established partisan baseline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa KS-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa KS-02
$12,333 Vol.
$12,333 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Derek Schmidt (R)
95%
Don Coover (D)
5%
$12,333 Vol.
$12,333 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Derek Schmidt (R)
$6,967 Vol.
95%
Don Coover (D)
$5,366 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding lead in the KS-02 House race, reflected in the 95% trader consensus, due to the district’s consistent Republican lean (R+10 PVI) and his decisive primary victory. Schmidt secured nearly 80% of the Republican primary vote on August 4, 2026, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with his 2024 margin. Democratic nominee Don Coover, a veterinarian and veteran who won his primary unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a district covering much of eastern Kansas. Realistic shifts in odds would require major developments such as unexpected national political swings, significant turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late-campaign developments that alter the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$12,333Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding lead in the KS-02 House race, reflected in the 95% trader consensus, due to the district’s consistent Republican lean (R+10 PVI) and his decisive primary victory. Schmidt secured nearly 80% of the Republican primary vote on August 4, 2026, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with his 2024 margin. Democratic nominee Don Coover, a veterinarian and veteran who won his primary unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a district covering much of eastern Kansas. Realistic shifts in odds would require major developments such as unexpected national political swings, significant turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late-campaign developments that alter the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,333Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding lead in the KS-02 House race, reflected in the 95% trader consensus, due to the district’s consistent Republican lean (R+10 PVI) and his decisive primary victory. Schmidt secured nearly 80% of the Republican primary vote on August 4, 2026, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with his 2024 margin. Democratic nominee Don Coover, a veterinarian and veteran who won his primary unopposed, faces structural headwinds in a district covering much of eastern Kansas. Realistic shifts in odds would require major developments such as unexpected national political swings, significant turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late-campaign developments that alter the established partisan baseline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions