Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the June primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and support from Senate leadership. The vacancy arose when Markwayne Mullin resigned to become homeland security secretary, prompting an interim appointment barred from running for a full term. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance, including Trump’s sweeps of all 77 counties in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins the market’s strong consensus around Hern. N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, a nurse and military spouse, advanced through the Democratic runoff but faces structural headwinds in the solidly Republican state. The November 3 general election could shift only with major unforeseen developments such as candidate health events or national political realignments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma
$20,653 Vol.
$20,653 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kevin Hern (R)
95%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas (D)
4%
$20,653 Vol.
$20,653 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kevin Hern (R)
$14,071 Vol.
95%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas (D)
$6,582 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the June primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and support from Senate leadership. The vacancy arose when Markwayne Mullin resigned to become homeland security secretary, prompting an interim appointment barred from running for a full term. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance, including Trump’s sweeps of all 77 counties in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins the market’s strong consensus around Hern. N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, a nurse and military spouse, advanced through the Democratic runoff but faces structural headwinds in the solidly Republican state. The November 3 general election could shift only with major unforeseen developments such as candidate health events or national political realignments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$20,653Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the June primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and support from Senate leadership. The vacancy arose when Markwayne Mullin resigned to become homeland security secretary, prompting an interim appointment barred from running for a full term. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance, including Trump’s sweeps of all 77 counties in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins the market’s strong consensus around Hern. N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, a nurse and military spouse, advanced through the Democratic runoff but faces structural headwinds in the solidly Republican state. The November 3 general election could shift only with major unforeseen developments such as candidate health events or national political realignments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,653Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the June primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and support from Senate leadership. The vacancy arose when Markwayne Mullin resigned to become homeland security secretary, prompting an interim appointment barred from running for a full term. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance, including Trump’s sweeps of all 77 counties in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins the market’s strong consensus around Hern. N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, a nurse and military spouse, advanced through the Democratic runoff but faces structural headwinds in the solidly Republican state. The November 3 general election could shift only with major unforeseen developments such as candidate health events or national political realignments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions