Republicans hold a clear edge in both the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races in Kansas, driving the 61.5% trader consensus for a Republican sweep. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall maintains a narrow lead over Democrat Adam Hamilton in recent polling, with the race rated Likely Republican by forecasters after Hamilton's August primary win tightened the contest. For the open governor's seat, Republican Ty Masterson leads Democrat Cindy Holscher in surveys following their respective primaries, consistent with the state's Republican lean from the 2024 presidential results. Recent back-to-back debates and late-September polling have reinforced these positions without major shifts. The low probabilities for Democratic sweeps or split outcomes reflect limited crossover potential in this environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRepublicanos dominam 62%
Vitória total dos democratas 11%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado 11%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado 3.1%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republicanos dominam
62%
Vitória total dos democratas
11%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado
11%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado
3%
Republicanos dominam 62%
Vitória total dos democratas 11%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado 11%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado 3.1%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republicanos dominam
$3,215 Vol.
62%
Vitória total dos democratas
$297 Vol.
11%
Dems vencem Governador, Reps vencem Senado
$1,601 Vol.
11%
Reps vencem Gov, Dems vencem Senado
$201 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republicans hold a clear edge in both the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races in Kansas, driving the 61.5% trader consensus for a Republican sweep. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall maintains a narrow lead over Democrat Adam Hamilton in recent polling, with the race rated Likely Republican by forecasters after Hamilton's August primary win tightened the contest. For the open governor's seat, Republican Ty Masterson leads Democrat Cindy Holscher in surveys following their respective primaries, consistent with the state's Republican lean from the 2024 presidential results. Recent back-to-back debates and late-September polling have reinforced these positions without major shifts. The low probabilities for Democratic sweeps or split outcomes reflect limited crossover potential in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Volume
$5,314Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republicans hold a clear edge in both the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races in Kansas, driving the 61.5% trader consensus for a Republican sweep. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall maintains a narrow lead over Democrat Adam Hamilton in recent polling, with the race rated Likely Republican by forecasters after Hamilton's August primary win tightened the contest. For the open governor's seat, Republican Ty Masterson leads Democrat Cindy Holscher in surveys following their respective primaries, consistent with the state's Republican lean from the 2024 presidential results. Recent back-to-back debates and late-September polling have reinforced these positions without major shifts. The low probabilities for Democratic sweeps or split outcomes reflect limited crossover potential in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$5,314Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Republicans hold a clear edge in both the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races in Kansas, driving the 61.5% trader consensus for a Republican sweep. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall maintains a narrow lead over Democrat Adam Hamilton in recent polling, with the race rated Likely Republican by forecasters after Hamilton's August primary win tightened the contest. For the open governor's seat, Republican Ty Masterson leads Democrat Cindy Holscher in surveys following their respective primaries, consistent with the state's Republican lean from the 2024 presidential results. Recent back-to-back debates and late-September polling have reinforced these positions without major shifts. The low probabilities for Democratic sweeps or split outcomes reflect limited crossover potential in this environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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