Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing over a crowded field that included progressive challenger Kat Abughazaleh in the open seat left by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky. The district, encompassing northern Chicago neighborhoods and affluent North Shore suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1947 and maintains a strong Democratic tilt. Republican nominee John Elleson, an Arlington Heights pastor, advanced from a smaller primary contest but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Biss’s established local profile, endorsements from figures including Senators Tammy Duckworth and Elizabeth Warren, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. A narrow window remains for events such as health issues, significant scandals, or an unforeseen national swing to alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-09 Vencedor da eleição da casa
IL-09 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
$17,371 Vol.
95%
John Elleson (R)
$14,254 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing over a crowded field that included progressive challenger Kat Abughazaleh in the open seat left by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky. The district, encompassing northern Chicago neighborhoods and affluent North Shore suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1947 and maintains a strong Democratic tilt. Republican nominee John Elleson, an Arlington Heights pastor, advanced from a smaller primary contest but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Biss’s established local profile, endorsements from figures including Senators Tammy Duckworth and Elizabeth Warren, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. A narrow window remains for events such as health issues, significant scandals, or an unforeseen national swing to alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$31,625Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing over a crowded field that included progressive challenger Kat Abughazaleh in the open seat left by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky. The district, encompassing northern Chicago neighborhoods and affluent North Shore suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1947 and maintains a strong Democratic tilt. Republican nominee John Elleson, an Arlington Heights pastor, advanced from a smaller primary contest but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Biss’s established local profile, endorsements from figures including Senators Tammy Duckworth and Elizabeth Warren, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. A narrow window remains for events such as health issues, significant scandals, or an unforeseen national swing to alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,625Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing over a crowded field that included progressive challenger Kat Abughazaleh in the open seat left by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky. The district, encompassing northern Chicago neighborhoods and affluent North Shore suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1947 and maintains a strong Democratic tilt. Republican nominee John Elleson, an Arlington Heights pastor, advanced from a smaller primary contest but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Biss’s established local profile, endorsements from figures including Senators Tammy Duckworth and Elizabeth Warren, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions. A narrow window remains for events such as health issues, significant scandals, or an unforeseen national swing to alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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