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icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hsinchu
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hsinchu

icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hsinchu
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hsinchu

Cheng Chao-fang 58%

Hsu Hsin-ying 37%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$14,752 Vol.

Cheng Chao-fang 58%

Hsu Hsin-ying 37%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$14,752 Vol.

icon for Cheng Chao-fang

Cheng Chao-fang

$7,341 Vol.

58%

icon for Hsu Hsin-ying

Hsu Hsin-ying

$5,580 Vol.

37%

icon for Lin Szu-ming

Lin Szu-ming

$1,073 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chen Chien-hsien

Chen Chien-hsien

$757 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Recent polling and the collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination have driven trader consensus toward DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang at 64 percent for the November 28 Hsinchu County magistrate race. A September 21 Era poll showed Cheng at 35.1 percent support against KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 28.7 percent, reversing a June deficit and reflecting gains among former TPP voters after the parties failed to align on a Zhubei mayoral candidate. Cheng, the current Zhubei mayor, holds a clear edge in that populous city while Hsu retains strength in most other townships. Minor candidates including independents and party splinter figures register negligible shares. The two-candidate dynamic, combined with undecided voters near 29 percent, leaves room for shifts before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$14,752
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Recent polling and the collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination have driven trader consensus toward DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang at 64 percent for the November 28 Hsinchu County magistrate race. A September 21 Era poll showed Cheng at 35.1 percent support against KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 28.7 percent, reversing a June deficit and reflecting gains among former TPP voters after the parties failed to align on a Zhubei mayoral candidate. Cheng, the current Zhubei mayor, holds a clear edge in that populous city while Hsu retains strength in most other townships. Minor candidates including independents and party splinter figures register negligible shares. The two-candidate dynamic, combined with undecided voters near 29 percent, leaves room for shifts before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$14,752
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hsinchu" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cheng Chao-fang" at 58%, followed by "Hsu Hsin-ying" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hsinchu" has generated $14.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hsinchu," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hsinchu" is "Cheng Chao-fang" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hsu Hsin-ying" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hsinchu" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.