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icon for Vencedor da eleição para Presidente da Câmara de Hobart
Política·Mayoral

Vencedor da eleição para Presidente da Câmara de Hobart

icon for Vencedor da eleição para Presidente da Câmara de Hobart
Política·Mayoral

Vencedor da eleição para Presidente da Câmara de Hobart

John Kelly 38%

Ryan Posselt 22%

Louise Bloomfield 16%

Bill Harvey 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

John Kelly 38%

Ryan Posselt 22%

Louise Bloomfield 16%

Bill Harvey 10%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$2,305 Vol.

38%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$1,388 Vol.

22%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$1,066 Vol.

16%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$1,315 Vol.

10%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$309 Vol.

9%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$1,057 Vol.

2%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$286 Vol.

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Hobart Lord Mayor race for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government election remains closely contested among multiple independent candidates after incumbent Anna Reynolds confirmed she would not recontest. With nominations open until September 21, sitting councillors John Kelly, Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Bill Harvey, Marti Zucco, and Mike Dutta have declared, alongside Harvey Lennon and others. Trader pricing reflects the fragmented field under single transferable voting, where outcomes hinge on preference distributions rather than primary votes. Recent council debates on budgets, rates, transport infrastructure, and governance have not yet produced clear separation, while the short campaign window and lack of established polling keep implied probabilities distributed. Further candidate statements, formal preference deals, or shifts in local issues such as planning and services could consolidate support ahead of postal voting.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$7,725
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Hobart Lord Mayor race for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government election remains closely contested among multiple independent candidates after incumbent Anna Reynolds confirmed she would not recontest. With nominations open until September 21, sitting councillors John Kelly, Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Bill Harvey, Marti Zucco, and Mike Dutta have declared, alongside Harvey Lennon and others. Trader pricing reflects the fragmented field under single transferable voting, where outcomes hinge on preference distributions rather than primary votes. Recent council debates on budgets, rates, transport infrastructure, and governance have not yet produced clear separation, while the short campaign window and lack of established polling keep implied probabilities distributed. Further candidate statements, formal preference deals, or shifts in local issues such as planning and services could consolidate support ahead of postal voting.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$7,725
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para Presidente da Câmara de Hobart" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Kelly" at 38%, followed by "Ryan Posselt" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para Presidente da Câmara de Hobart" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para Presidente da Câmara de Hobart," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para Presidente da Câmara de Hobart" is "John Kelly" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ryan Posselt" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para Presidente da Câmara de Hobart" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.