Belit Onay, the incumbent Green mayor since 2019, secured 45.6% in the September 13 first round of Hannover’s mayoral election, advancing to the September 27 runoff against his former deputy Axel von der Ohe of the SPD, who received 21.5%. Other candidates, including the CDU’s Peter Karst and the AfD’s Jessica Schülke, split the remaining vote and were eliminated. Traders assign Onay a dominant implied probability because his first-round margin, combined with the city’s recent political patterns favoring the sitting executive, leaves limited room for a reversal in the two-candidate contest. A narrow path for von der Ohe would require unusually high opposition turnout or late shifts in Green-SPD voter alignments that have not appeared in pre-election surveys.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBelit Onay 95%
Axel von der Ohe 4.5%
Jessica Schülke <1%
Peter Karst <1%
$48,805 Vol.
$48,805 Vol.
13 set 2026
Belit Onay
95%
Axel von der Ohe
5%
Jessica Schülke
<1%
Peter Karst
<1%
Maren Kaminski
<1%
Larissa Boch
<1%
Bruno Adam Wolf
<1%
Thorsten Meyer
<1%
Muammer Duran
<1%
Belit Onay 95%
Axel von der Ohe 4.5%
Jessica Schülke <1%
Peter Karst <1%
$48,805 Vol.
$48,805 Vol.
13 set 2026
Belit Onay
$22,835 Vol.
95%
Axel von der Ohe
$13,210 Vol.
5%
Jessica Schülke
$4,042 Vol.
<1%
Peter Karst
$4,565 Vol.
<1%
Maren Kaminski
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
Larissa Boch
$603 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Adam Wolf
$653 Vol.
<1%
Thorsten Meyer
$567 Vol.
<1%
Muammer Duran
$616 Vol.
<1%
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.Belit Onay, the incumbent Green mayor since 2019, secured 45.6% in the September 13 first round of Hannover’s mayoral election, advancing to the September 27 runoff against his former deputy Axel von der Ohe of the SPD, who received 21.5%. Other candidates, including the CDU’s Peter Karst and the AfD’s Jessica Schülke, split the remaining vote and were eliminated. Traders assign Onay a dominant implied probability because his first-round margin, combined with the city’s recent political patterns favoring the sitting executive, leaves limited room for a reversal in the two-candidate contest. A narrow path for von der Ohe would require unusually high opposition turnout or late shifts in Green-SPD voter alignments that have not appeared in pre-election surveys.
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$48,805Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.Belit Onay, the incumbent Green mayor since 2019, secured 45.6% in the September 13 first round of Hannover’s mayoral election, advancing to the September 27 runoff against his former deputy Axel von der Ohe of the SPD, who received 21.5%. Other candidates, including the CDU’s Peter Karst and the AfD’s Jessica Schülke, split the remaining vote and were eliminated. Traders assign Onay a dominant implied probability because his first-round margin, combined with the city’s recent political patterns favoring the sitting executive, leaves limited room for a reversal in the two-candidate contest. A narrow path for von der Ohe would require unusually high opposition turnout or late shifts in Green-SPD voter alignments that have not appeared in pre-election surveys.
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$48,805Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Belit Onay, the incumbent Green mayor since 2019, secured 45.6% in the September 13 first round of Hannover’s mayoral election, advancing to the September 27 runoff against his former deputy Axel von der Ohe of the SPD, who received 21.5%. Other candidates, including the CDU’s Peter Karst and the AfD’s Jessica Schülke, split the remaining vote and were eliminated. Traders assign Onay a dominant implied probability because his first-round margin, combined with the city’s recent political patterns favoring the sitting executive, leaves limited room for a reversal in the two-candidate contest. A narrow path for von der Ohe would require unusually high opposition turnout or late shifts in Green-SPD voter alignments that have not appeared in pre-election surveys.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions