Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies, moderate northwest flow, and dew points in the low single digits Celsius, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–15°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shift that could trim the peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 15°C reflect trader assessment of modest upside potential from localized warming or measurement at urban stations versus the airport reference, while the 23% on 14°C and 13.5% on 16°C capture the narrow envelope of plausible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 11 de setembro?
15°C 61%
14°C 23%
16°C 14%
12°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
9°C ou menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
23%
15°C
61%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
15°C 61%
14°C 23%
16°C 14%
12°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
9°C ou menos
$528 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$194 Vol.
1%
12°C
$621 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,654 Vol.
2%
14°C
$1,149 Vol.
23%
15°C
$2,799 Vol.
61%
16°C
$1,221 Vol.
14%
17°C
$225 Vol.
2%
18°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou mais
$471 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies, moderate northwest flow, and dew points in the low single digits Celsius, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–15°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shift that could trim the peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 15°C reflect trader assessment of modest upside potential from localized warming or measurement at urban stations versus the airport reference, while the 23% on 14°C and 13.5% on 16°C capture the narrow envelope of plausible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,388Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies, moderate northwest flow, and dew points in the low single digits Celsius, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–15°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shift that could trim the peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 15°C reflect trader assessment of modest upside potential from localized warming or measurement at urban stations versus the airport reference, while the 23% on 14°C and 13.5% on 16°C capture the narrow envelope of plausible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,388Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies, moderate northwest flow, and dew points in the low single digits Celsius, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–15°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any cloud increase or wind shift that could trim the peak by 1°C. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 15°C reflect trader assessment of modest upside potential from localized warming or measurement at urban stations versus the airport reference, while the 23% on 14°C and 13.5% on 16°C capture the narrow envelope of plausible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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