Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a slow-moving frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 11, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 20–22°C according to consensus from JMA, Met Office, and other models. Northerly to northeasterly winds advect cooler maritime air while high humidity and steady precipitation enhance evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching typical mid-September values near 28°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any brief afternoon breaks that could allow limited insolation. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20–22°C precisely because ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this narrow range, with upside limited by the entrenched overcast regime.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 11 de setembro?
21°C 35%
20°C 26%
22°C 26%
23°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
26%
21°C
35%
22°C
26%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C ou mais
1%
21°C 35%
20°C 26%
22°C 26%
23°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$1,279 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$11 Vol.
2%
19°C
$269 Vol.
5%
20°C
$1,507 Vol.
26%
21°C
$778 Vol.
35%
22°C
$545 Vol.
26%
23°C
$300 Vol.
7%
24°C
$230 Vol.
3%
25°C ou mais
$410 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a slow-moving frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 11, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 20–22°C according to consensus from JMA, Met Office, and other models. Northerly to northeasterly winds advect cooler maritime air while high humidity and steady precipitation enhance evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching typical mid-September values near 28°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any brief afternoon breaks that could allow limited insolation. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20–22°C precisely because ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this narrow range, with upside limited by the entrenched overcast regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,093Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a slow-moving frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 11, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 20–22°C according to consensus from JMA, Met Office, and other models. Northerly to northeasterly winds advect cooler maritime air while high humidity and steady precipitation enhance evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching typical mid-September values near 28°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any brief afternoon breaks that could allow limited insolation. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20–22°C precisely because ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this narrow range, with upside limited by the entrenched overcast regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,093Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a slow-moving frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 11, keeping maximum temperatures tightly clustered around 20–22°C according to consensus from JMA, Met Office, and other models. Northerly to northeasterly winds advect cooler maritime air while high humidity and steady precipitation enhance evaporative cooling, preventing the surface from reaching typical mid-September values near 28°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any brief afternoon breaks that could allow limited insolation. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20–22°C precisely because ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this narrow range, with upside limited by the entrenched overcast regime.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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