Current forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 11 point to a peak daytime temperature of 30–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northwest winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of 32°C highs with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk, supports the market's strong 69% implied probability for 32°C, while slight model spreads and local urban effects keep 31°C and 33°C as viable secondary outcomes at 16% each. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest warming above baseline without significant advection or instability. Traders are weighting the consensus toward the upper end of the narrow forecast range, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at representative stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 11 de setembro?
32°C 69%
31°C 17%
33°C 14%
30°C 3%
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
69%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 69%
31°C 17%
33°C 14%
30°C 3%
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
69%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 11 point to a peak daytime temperature of 30–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northwest winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of 32°C highs with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk, supports the market's strong 69% implied probability for 32°C, while slight model spreads and local urban effects keep 31°C and 33°C as viable secondary outcomes at 16% each. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest warming above baseline without significant advection or instability. Traders are weighting the consensus toward the upper end of the narrow forecast range, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at representative stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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