Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicates a high near 81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that clear skies and advect a cooler but still mild air mass. This setup favors diurnal heating into the low 80s under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the 75.6°F historical average high yet well below late-summer extremes. Trader positioning reflects this agreement, concentrating implied probability on the 80–81°F range with limited dispersion to adjacent bins, as model runs show minimal spread and no signals for stronger warming or unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through the morning of the 18th will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 18 de setembro?
80-81°F 61%
82-83°F 21%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 2%
NOVO
$13,791 Vol.
NOVO
$13,791 Vol.
18 set 2026
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
61%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
2%
30-30,6°C
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
80-81°F 61%
82-83°F 21%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 2%
NOVO
$13,791 Vol.
NOVO
$13,791 Vol.
18 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$444 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$423 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$189 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$3,543 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$3,145 Vol.
61%
82-83°F
$2,781 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$944 Vol.
2%
30-30,6°C
$1,262 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$183 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou mais
$767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicates a high near 81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that clear skies and advect a cooler but still mild air mass. This setup favors diurnal heating into the low 80s under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the 75.6°F historical average high yet well below late-summer extremes. Trader positioning reflects this agreement, concentrating implied probability on the 80–81°F range with limited dispersion to adjacent bins, as model runs show minimal spread and no signals for stronger warming or unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through the morning of the 18th will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$13,791Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicates a high near 81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that clear skies and advect a cooler but still mild air mass. This setup favors diurnal heating into the low 80s under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the 75.6°F historical average high yet well below late-summer extremes. Trader positioning reflects this agreement, concentrating implied probability on the 80–81°F range with limited dispersion to adjacent bins, as model runs show minimal spread and no signals for stronger warming or unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through the morning of the 18th will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,791Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicates a high near 81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that clear skies and advect a cooler but still mild air mass. This setup favors diurnal heating into the low 80s under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the 75.6°F historical average high yet well below late-summer extremes. Trader positioning reflects this agreement, concentrating implied probability on the 80–81°F range with limited dispersion to adjacent bins, as model runs show minimal spread and no signals for stronger warming or unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through the morning of the 18th will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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