Consistent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Chengdu on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70-80%. Current observations show afternoon readings climbing toward 23-25°C without signs of rapid intensification or significant cooling from precipitation. This alignment across forecast runs underpins the market's near-certain positioning on 26°C. Unforeseen late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings slightly higher, while heavier localized showers might cap the peak below the threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 17 de setembro?
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$46,664 Vol.
$46,664 Vol.
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$46,664 Vol.
$46,664 Vol.
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consistent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Chengdu on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70-80%. Current observations show afternoon readings climbing toward 23-25°C without signs of rapid intensification or significant cooling from precipitation. This alignment across forecast runs underpins the market's near-certain positioning on 26°C. Unforeseen late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings slightly higher, while heavier localized showers might cap the peak below the threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions