National Weather Service model consensus currently positions 82-83°F as the leading outcome for New York City’s highest temperature on September 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that constrain afternoon warming. Mid-September climatology shows typical highs near 78°F, yet recent regional observations indicate slightly elevated readings consistent with the market’s 59% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast update and any shifts in boundary-layer wind or humidity, as small changes could move the peak within the 80-85°F range that together holds over 95% of the probability mass.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de setembro?
82-83°F 61%
80-81°F 18%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 3%
$37,429 Vol.
$37,429 Vol.
17 set 2026
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
61%
84-85°F
16%
30-30,5°C
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 61%
80-81°F 18%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 3%
$37,429 Vol.
$37,429 Vol.
17 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$218 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$402 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$468 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,336 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$6,490 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$8,482 Vol.
18%
82-83°F
$7,638 Vol.
61%
84-85°F
$7,443 Vol.
16%
30-30,5°C
$1,675 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$1,283 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou mais
$995 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model consensus currently positions 82-83°F as the leading outcome for New York City’s highest temperature on September 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that constrain afternoon warming. Mid-September climatology shows typical highs near 78°F, yet recent regional observations indicate slightly elevated readings consistent with the market’s 59% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast update and any shifts in boundary-layer wind or humidity, as small changes could move the peak within the 80-85°F range that together holds over 95% of the probability mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$37,429Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model consensus currently positions 82-83°F as the leading outcome for New York City’s highest temperature on September 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that constrain afternoon warming. Mid-September climatology shows typical highs near 78°F, yet recent regional observations indicate slightly elevated readings consistent with the market’s 59% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast update and any shifts in boundary-layer wind or humidity, as small changes could move the peak within the 80-85°F range that together holds over 95% of the probability mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,429Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service model consensus currently positions 82-83°F as the leading outcome for New York City’s highest temperature on September 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that constrain afternoon warming. Mid-September climatology shows typical highs near 78°F, yet recent regional observations indicate slightly elevated readings consistent with the market’s 59% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast update and any shifts in boundary-layer wind or humidity, as small changes could move the peak within the 80-85°F range that together holds over 95% of the probability mass.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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