Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 90°F on September 18, 2026, one degree above the 1991–2020 normal of 89°F amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered showers that limited further heating. Pre-event model consensus from NOAA and local forecasts had centered on highs near 87–89°F under moderate easterly flow and cloud cover, aligning trader positions with the narrow 88–89°F outcome at full implied probability. Historical analogs for the date show averages around 89°F, with recent years often falling in the upper 80s when tropical moisture increases. Only an unexpected clear-sky surge or revised station data could shift resolution outside this range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 18 de setembro?
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F ou menos <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$73,432 Vol.
$73,432 Vol.
77°F ou menos
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-30,5°C
Não
88-89°F
Sim
90-91°F
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96°F ou mais
Não
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F ou menos <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$73,432 Vol.
$73,432 Vol.
77°F ou menos
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-30,5°C
Não
88-89°F
Sim
90-91°F
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 90°F on September 18, 2026, one degree above the 1991–2020 normal of 89°F amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered showers that limited further heating. Pre-event model consensus from NOAA and local forecasts had centered on highs near 87–89°F under moderate easterly flow and cloud cover, aligning trader positions with the narrow 88–89°F outcome at full implied probability. Historical analogs for the date show averages around 89°F, with recent years often falling in the upper 80s when tropical moisture increases. Only an unexpected clear-sky surge or revised station data could shift resolution outside this range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions