Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological sources indicate a peak temperature near 28°C for Istanbul on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds, consistent with the current high-pressure pattern. This positions 25–26°C as the leading market outcomes, with trader consensus assigning 96% combined implied probability to those bins. The slight downward tilt in probabilities relative to raw model guidance reflects typical urban heat island adjustments and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Historical September maxima average around 23–25°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by clear conditions and light winds. Updated observations tomorrow morning will refine the final peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 11 de setembro?
25°C 66%
26°C 23%
24°C 6%
27°C 2.4%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
66%
26°C
23%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 66%
26°C 23%
24°C 6%
27°C 2.4%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$416 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$67 Vol.
1%
23°C
$94 Vol.
2%
24°C
$230 Vol.
6%
25°C
$720 Vol.
66%
26°C
$217 Vol.
23%
27°C
$100 Vol.
2%
28°C
$82 Vol.
2%
29°C
$133 Vol.
2%
30°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$68 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological sources indicate a peak temperature near 28°C for Istanbul on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds, consistent with the current high-pressure pattern. This positions 25–26°C as the leading market outcomes, with trader consensus assigning 96% combined implied probability to those bins. The slight downward tilt in probabilities relative to raw model guidance reflects typical urban heat island adjustments and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Historical September maxima average around 23–25°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by clear conditions and light winds. Updated observations tomorrow morning will refine the final peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,236Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological sources indicate a peak temperature near 28°C for Istanbul on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds, consistent with the current high-pressure pattern. This positions 25–26°C as the leading market outcomes, with trader consensus assigning 96% combined implied probability to those bins. The slight downward tilt in probabilities relative to raw model guidance reflects typical urban heat island adjustments and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Historical September maxima average around 23–25°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by clear conditions and light winds. Updated observations tomorrow morning will refine the final peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,236Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from regional meteorological sources indicate a peak temperature near 28°C for Istanbul on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds, consistent with the current high-pressure pattern. This positions 25–26°C as the leading market outcomes, with trader consensus assigning 96% combined implied probability to those bins. The slight downward tilt in probabilities relative to raw model guidance reflects typical urban heat island adjustments and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Historical September maxima average around 23–25°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal warmth driven by clear conditions and light winds. Updated observations tomorrow morning will refine the final peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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