Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 point to a maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence, with mostly fine and dry daytime conditions and only low rain chances. This supports the market's tight clustering around 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33.5%), as some numerical models indicate slightly warmer potential if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Traders weigh the monsoon's cooling effect and typical September variability against historical maxima near 31–32°C, while awaiting updated model runs and the final HKO observational high that will resolve the contract.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 11 de setembro?
32°C 40%
31°C 36%
30°C 17%
33°C 8%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
36%
32°C
40%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 36%
30°C 17%
33°C 8%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
36%
32°C
40%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 point to a maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence, with mostly fine and dry daytime conditions and only low rain chances. This supports the market's tight clustering around 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33.5%), as some numerical models indicate slightly warmer potential if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Traders weigh the monsoon's cooling effect and typical September variability against historical maxima near 31–32°C, while awaiting updated model runs and the final HKO observational high that will resolve the contract.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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