Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor capping Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum near 31°C, as confirmed by the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a 25–31°C range under generally sunny, dry conditions with northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Recent observations show daily peaks of 31–32°C moderating slightly under this pattern, while limited model spread and minimal expected cloud cover keep 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or temporary wind lull could push readings to 32°C, but stronger monsoon reinforcement would favor the lower end of the envelope. The market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 11 de setembro?
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
18%
31°C
36%
32°C
33%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$167 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$379 Vol.
2%
29°C
$393 Vol.
3%
30°C
$295 Vol.
18%
31°C
$105 Vol.
36%
32°C
$413 Vol.
33%
33°C
$185 Vol.
10%
34°C
$25 Vol.
1%
35°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor capping Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum near 31°C, as confirmed by the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a 25–31°C range under generally sunny, dry conditions with northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Recent observations show daily peaks of 31–32°C moderating slightly under this pattern, while limited model spread and minimal expected cloud cover keep 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or temporary wind lull could push readings to 32°C, but stronger monsoon reinforcement would favor the lower end of the envelope. The market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,124Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor capping Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum near 31°C, as confirmed by the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a 25–31°C range under generally sunny, dry conditions with northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Recent observations show daily peaks of 31–32°C moderating slightly under this pattern, while limited model spread and minimal expected cloud cover keep 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or temporary wind lull could push readings to 32°C, but stronger monsoon reinforcement would favor the lower end of the envelope. The market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,124Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant factor capping Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum near 31°C, as confirmed by the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance projecting a 25–31°C range under generally sunny, dry conditions with northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Recent observations show daily peaks of 31–32°C moderating slightly under this pattern, while limited model spread and minimal expected cloud cover keep 31°C and 32°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or temporary wind lull could push readings to 32°C, but stronger monsoon reinforcement would favor the lower end of the envelope. The market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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