**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 17°C as the leading outcome for Helsinki's September 11 maximum temperature.** Multiple sources, including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Yr.no, and Met Office guidance, project a daytime high near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 6–11 m/s and low precipitation chances. This aligns closely with the long-term September average high of approximately 16°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions without strong warm or cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C (60.5%) over 18°C (34%), consistent with model agreement and limited upside potential from current steering patterns. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs, which show stable temperatures peaking in the mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum from Helsinki stations, with any last-minute model shifts in the final hours able to influence the narrow margin between 17°C and 18°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Helsínquia no dia 11 de setembro?
17°C 61%
18°C 34%
16°C 5%
15°C 3%
10°C ou menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
61%
18°C
34%
19°C
3%
20°C ou mais
2%
17°C 61%
18°C 34%
16°C 5%
15°C 3%
10°C ou menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
61%
18°C
34%
19°C
3%
20°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 17°C as the leading outcome for Helsinki's September 11 maximum temperature.** Multiple sources, including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Yr.no, and Met Office guidance, project a daytime high near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 6–11 m/s and low precipitation chances. This aligns closely with the long-term September average high of approximately 16°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions without strong warm or cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C (60.5%) over 18°C (34%), consistent with model agreement and limited upside potential from current steering patterns. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs, which show stable temperatures peaking in the mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum from Helsinki stations, with any last-minute model shifts in the final hours able to influence the narrow margin between 17°C and 18°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions