Official National Weather Service observations from Austin stations, including Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 102–103°F on September 15, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and elevated humidity. This exceeded the normal high near 92°F and set a new record, directly supporting the market's near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent regional heat, driven by a strong subtropical ridge, produced similar readings across central Texas amid ongoing heat advisories. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-event data revisions or station-specific measurement differences, though multi-station confirmation makes such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 15 de setembro?
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F ou menos <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$21,686 Vol.
$21,686 Vol.
15 set 2026
91°F ou menos
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100-101°F
Não
102-103°F
Sim
104-105°F
Não
106-107°F
Não
108-109°F
Não
110°F ou mais
Não
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F ou menos <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$21,686 Vol.
$21,686 Vol.
15 set 2026
91°F ou menos
$1,024 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$581 Vol.
Não
94-95°F
$777 Vol.
Não
96-97°F
$857 Vol.
Não
98-99°F
$4,982 Vol.
Não
100-101°F
$5,046 Vol.
Não
102-103°F
$5,167 Vol.
Sim
104-105°F
$1,080 Vol.
Não
106-107°F
$520 Vol.
Não
108-109°F
$435 Vol.
Não
110°F ou mais
$1,219 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin stations, including Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 102–103°F on September 15, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and elevated humidity. This exceeded the normal high near 92°F and set a new record, directly supporting the market's near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent regional heat, driven by a strong subtropical ridge, produced similar readings across central Texas amid ongoing heat advisories. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-event data revisions or station-specific measurement differences, though multi-station confirmation makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$21,686Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin stations, including Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 102–103°F on September 15, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and elevated humidity. This exceeded the normal high near 92°F and set a new record, directly supporting the market's near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent regional heat, driven by a strong subtropical ridge, produced similar readings across central Texas amid ongoing heat advisories. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-event data revisions or station-specific measurement differences, though multi-station confirmation makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,686Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official National Weather Service observations from Austin stations, including Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 102–103°F on September 15, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and elevated humidity. This exceeded the normal high near 92°F and set a new record, directly supporting the market's near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent regional heat, driven by a strong subtropical ridge, produced similar readings across central Texas amid ongoing heat advisories. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-event data revisions or station-specific measurement differences, though multi-station confirmation makes such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions