**Trader consensus has converged on 100-101°F as the highest temperature recorded in Austin on September 10 because official observations from stations including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow band under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points produced heat indices near 107°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 92°F but recent years have frequently seen 99–101°F peaks. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an unanticipated measurement error or station-specific anomaly could reopen the market, scenarios traders now assign negligible probability given multiple corroborating reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 10 de setembro?
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F ou menos <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$62,241 Vol.
$62,241 Vol.
10 set 2026
89°F ou menos
Não
90-91°F
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100-101°F
Sim
102-103°F
Não
104-105°F
Não
106-107°F
Não
108°F ou mais
Não
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F ou menos <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$62,241 Vol.
$62,241 Vol.
10 set 2026
89°F ou menos
$3,214 Vol.
Não
90-91°F
$3,636 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$8,352 Vol.
Não
94-95°F
$5,022 Vol.
Não
96-97°F
$10,344 Vol.
Não
98-99°F
$14,045 Vol.
Não
100-101°F
$9,299 Vol.
Sim
102-103°F
$5,588 Vol.
Não
104-105°F
$1,670 Vol.
Não
106-107°F
$775 Vol.
Não
108°F ou mais
$295 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 100-101°F as the highest temperature recorded in Austin on September 10 because official observations from stations including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow band under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points produced heat indices near 107°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 92°F but recent years have frequently seen 99–101°F peaks. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an unanticipated measurement error or station-specific anomaly could reopen the market, scenarios traders now assign negligible probability given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$62,241Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 100-101°F as the highest temperature recorded in Austin on September 10 because official observations from stations including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow band under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points produced heat indices near 107°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 92°F but recent years have frequently seen 99–101°F peaks. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an unanticipated measurement error or station-specific anomaly could reopen the market, scenarios traders now assign negligible probability given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,241Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus has converged on 100-101°F as the highest temperature recorded in Austin on September 10 because official observations from stations including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow band under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points produced heat indices near 107°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 92°F but recent years have frequently seen 99–101°F peaks. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an unanticipated measurement error or station-specific anomaly could reopen the market, scenarios traders now assign negligible probability given multiple corroborating reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions