**Forecast models and real-time observations have converged on a daily maximum near 25 °C for Ankara on 15 September 2026, driving near-certain market pricing at that level.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where September averages hover around 26 °C. Current surface readings from local stations already reflect this range, with temperatures now falling into the mid-teens Celsius overnight. Resolution hinges on the precise highest hourly or instantaneous value recorded by the primary meteorological network; minor upward revisions from localized heating or station-specific microclimates remain the main uncertainty, though current data and model agreement leave little room for outcomes outside 24–26 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara no dia 15 de setembro?
25°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,121 Vol.
$28,121 Vol.
15 set 2026
19°C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,121 Vol.
$28,121 Vol.
15 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$617 Vol.
Não
20°C
$542 Vol.
Não
21°C
$628 Vol.
Não
22°C
$326 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,418 Vol.
Não
24°C
$6,701 Vol.
Não
25°C
$10,013 Vol.
Sim
26°C
$5,227 Vol.
Não
27°C
$1,597 Vol.
Não
28°C
$721 Vol.
Não
29°C ou mais
$332 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations have converged on a daily maximum near 25 °C for Ankara on 15 September 2026, driving near-certain market pricing at that level.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where September averages hover around 26 °C. Current surface readings from local stations already reflect this range, with temperatures now falling into the mid-teens Celsius overnight. Resolution hinges on the precise highest hourly or instantaneous value recorded by the primary meteorological network; minor upward revisions from localized heating or station-specific microclimates remain the main uncertainty, though current data and model agreement leave little room for outcomes outside 24–26 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$28,121Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations have converged on a daily maximum near 25 °C for Ankara on 15 September 2026, driving near-certain market pricing at that level.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where September averages hover around 26 °C. Current surface readings from local stations already reflect this range, with temperatures now falling into the mid-teens Celsius overnight. Resolution hinges on the precise highest hourly or instantaneous value recorded by the primary meteorological network; minor upward revisions from localized heating or station-specific microclimates remain the main uncertainty, though current data and model agreement leave little room for outcomes outside 24–26 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,121Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Forecast models and real-time observations have converged on a daily maximum near 25 °C for Ankara on 15 September 2026, driving near-certain market pricing at that level.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where September averages hover around 26 °C. Current surface readings from local stations already reflect this range, with temperatures now falling into the mid-teens Celsius overnight. Resolution hinges on the precise highest hourly or instantaneous value recorded by the primary meteorological network; minor upward revisions from localized heating or station-specific microclimates remain the main uncertainty, though current data and model agreement leave little room for outcomes outside 24–26 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions