**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum in Ankara for September 17 amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast peaks well below the typical mid-September average of roughly 26°C. Multiple model runs and station data align on a narrow temperature range, with the highest readings occurring midday before steady rain and falling temperatures in the afternoon and evening. This strong agreement across official forecasts underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 18°C. A realistic shift could occur only if final verified observations from Ankara’s primary stations record a peak one degree higher or lower due to localized timing or measurement differences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 17 de setembro?
18°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,325 Vol.
$40,325 Vol.
17 set 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
18°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,325 Vol.
$40,325 Vol.
17 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$223 Vol.
Não
15°C
$213 Vol.
Não
16°C
$825 Vol.
Não
17°C
$3,864 Vol.
Não
18°C
$11,475 Vol.
Sim
19°C
$5,910 Vol.
Não
20°C
$4,165 Vol.
Não
21°C
$4,567 Vol.
Não
22°C
$5,565 Vol.
Não
23°C
$2,068 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$1,449 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum in Ankara for September 17 amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast peaks well below the typical mid-September average of roughly 26°C. Multiple model runs and station data align on a narrow temperature range, with the highest readings occurring midday before steady rain and falling temperatures in the afternoon and evening. This strong agreement across official forecasts underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 18°C. A realistic shift could occur only if final verified observations from Ankara’s primary stations record a peak one degree higher or lower due to localized timing or measurement differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$40,325Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum in Ankara for September 17 amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast peaks well below the typical mid-September average of roughly 26°C. Multiple model runs and station data align on a narrow temperature range, with the highest readings occurring midday before steady rain and falling temperatures in the afternoon and evening. This strong agreement across official forecasts underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 18°C. A realistic shift could occur only if final verified observations from Ankara’s primary stations record a peak one degree higher or lower due to localized timing or measurement differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,325Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum in Ankara for September 17 amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast peaks well below the typical mid-September average of roughly 26°C. Multiple model runs and station data align on a narrow temperature range, with the highest readings occurring midday before steady rain and falling temperatures in the afternoon and evening. This strong agreement across official forecasts underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 18°C. A realistic shift could occur only if final verified observations from Ankara’s primary stations record a peak one degree higher or lower due to localized timing or measurement differences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions