Current forecast models from the Global Forecast System and regional analyses indicate a peak temperature of 29°C in Busan on September 16, driven by clear skies, northeast winds of 15–20 km/h, and stable atmospheric conditions that limit cloud cover and precipitation. Official monitoring shows afternoon maxima aligning with this level amid typical late-summer patterns, where historical September highs average near 26°C but recent model consensus has shifted upward. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability reflects this alignment, as real-time observations and ensemble runs show minimal divergence. Uncertainties such as localized sea-breeze effects or delayed model updates could still alter the recorded maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 16 de setembro?
29°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,498 Vol.
$46,498 Vol.
23°C ou menos
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C ou mais
Não
29°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,498 Vol.
$46,498 Vol.
23°C ou menos
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecast models from the Global Forecast System and regional analyses indicate a peak temperature of 29°C in Busan on September 16, driven by clear skies, northeast winds of 15–20 km/h, and stable atmospheric conditions that limit cloud cover and precipitation. Official monitoring shows afternoon maxima aligning with this level amid typical late-summer patterns, where historical September highs average near 26°C but recent model consensus has shifted upward. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability reflects this alignment, as real-time observations and ensemble runs show minimal divergence. Uncertainties such as localized sea-breeze effects or delayed model updates could still alter the recorded maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions