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icon for Maior pontuação de Claude no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
Tecnologia·IA

Maior pontuação de Claude no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?

icon for Maior pontuação de Claude no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
Tecnologia·IA

Maior pontuação de Claude no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?

$111,704 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$111,704 Vol.

Polymarket

55%+

$28,850 Vol.

86%

60% ou mais

$48,262 Vol.

38%

65%+

$28,321 Vol.

19%

70%+

$4,458 Vol.

12%

75%+

$1,813 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores up to 65% as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude 5 variants like Opus 5 and Mythos 5, reflecting strong frontier performance on this expert-level benchmark of knowledge and reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. Recent internal data shows Claude driving 26% of Anthropic's R&D workflows, supporting iterative gains in large language model capabilities through self-reinforcing development. This positions Claude models ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 series and Meta's Muse Spark on published HLE results. Traders should watch for any late-2026 model updates or refined tool-use protocols that could push scores higher before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$111,704
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://agi.safe.ai/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with scores up to 65% as of mid-September 2026, ahead of other Claude 5 variants like Opus 5 and Mythos 5, reflecting strong frontier performance on this expert-level benchmark of knowledge and reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. Recent internal data shows Claude driving 26% of Anthropic's R&D workflows, supporting iterative gains in large language model capabilities through self-reinforcing development. This positions Claude models ahead of OpenAI's GPT-6 series and Meta's Muse Spark on published HLE results. Traders should watch for any late-2026 model updates or refined tool-use protocols that could push scores higher before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$111,704
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://agi.safe.ai/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maior pontuação de Claude no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "55%+" at 86%, followed by "60% ou mais" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maior pontuação de Claude no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?" has generated $111.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maior pontuação de Claude no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maior pontuação de Claude no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?" is "55%+" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "60% ou mais" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maior pontuação de Claude no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.