Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s Republican lean across Seminole and Volusia counties and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings. Elijah secured the GOP nomination on August 18 by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid the latter’s ethics issues, positioning the former news anchor as a scandal-free alternative focused on costs, law enforcement, and veterans. Bale Dalton, the Democratic nominee and retired Navy captain with NASA experience, won his primary and highlights economic relief and housing concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. A September 10 statement by Elijah clarifying his 2020 election views drew partisan pushback but has not shifted the broader market consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-07 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
FL-07 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$25,114 Vol.
$25,114 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ryan Elijah (R)
68%
Bale Dalton (D)
33%
$25,114 Vol.
$25,114 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ryan Elijah (R)
$14,454 Vol.
68%
Bale Dalton (D)
$10,660 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s Republican lean across Seminole and Volusia counties and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings. Elijah secured the GOP nomination on August 18 by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid the latter’s ethics issues, positioning the former news anchor as a scandal-free alternative focused on costs, law enforcement, and veterans. Bale Dalton, the Democratic nominee and retired Navy captain with NASA experience, won his primary and highlights economic relief and housing concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. A September 10 statement by Elijah clarifying his 2020 election views drew partisan pushback but has not shifted the broader market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$25,114Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s Republican lean across Seminole and Volusia counties and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings. Elijah secured the GOP nomination on August 18 by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid the latter’s ethics issues, positioning the former news anchor as a scandal-free alternative focused on costs, law enforcement, and veterans. Bale Dalton, the Democratic nominee and retired Navy captain with NASA experience, won his primary and highlights economic relief and housing concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. A September 10 statement by Elijah clarifying his 2020 election views drew partisan pushback but has not shifted the broader market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,114Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s Republican lean across Seminole and Volusia counties and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings. Elijah secured the GOP nomination on August 18 by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid the latter’s ethics issues, positioning the former news anchor as a scandal-free alternative focused on costs, law enforcement, and veterans. Bale Dalton, the Democratic nominee and retired Navy captain with NASA experience, won his primary and highlights economic relief and housing concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. A September 10 statement by Elijah clarifying his 2020 election views drew partisan pushback but has not shifted the broader market consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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