California voters will decide Proposition 2 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment that would raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of general fund revenues, adjust Gann Limit treatment of deposits and withdrawals, boost mandatory savings during high capital gains years, and expand eligible debt repayments including unemployment insurance obligations. The measure advanced through the Legislature in late June 2026 with strong Democratic majorities and Governor Newsom’s backing after budget negotiations highlighted revenue volatility and the need for larger reserves. Trader consensus around 68% yes reflects broad appeal for expanded fiscal buffers during strong revenue periods, tempered by Republican warnings about added spending flexibility and the absence of major organized opposition or recent polling shifts in the two months since placement on the ballot.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoProposta do Fundo para os Dias Chuvosos da Califórnia
Sim
Sim
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California voters will decide Proposition 2 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment that would raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of general fund revenues, adjust Gann Limit treatment of deposits and withdrawals, boost mandatory savings during high capital gains years, and expand eligible debt repayments including unemployment insurance obligations. The measure advanced through the Legislature in late June 2026 with strong Democratic majorities and Governor Newsom’s backing after budget negotiations highlighted revenue volatility and the need for larger reserves. Trader consensus around 68% yes reflects broad appeal for expanded fiscal buffers during strong revenue periods, tempered by Republican warnings about added spending flexibility and the absence of major organized opposition or recent polling shifts in the two months since placement on the ballot.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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