Lin Kuo-chang holds the leading position in the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race due to his established local profile as a long-practicing lawyer, unified Democratic Progressive Party backing after prior factional tensions, and the county’s historical tilt toward the ruling party. Wu Tsung-hsien, the Kuomintang nominee backed by a KMT-Taiwan People’s Party alliance after prevailing in joint polling over Chen Wan-hui, trails amid limited personal connections to Yilan and residual effects from the previous KMT administration’s legal challenges. Recent candidate registration closed on September 4 with five total entrants, including independents, adding minor fragmentation but not shifting the core contest. Public polls consistently show Lin ahead in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios, while opposition coordination and turnout among swing voters remain key variables ahead of election day. Trader consensus prices these factors into the current implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLin Kuo-chang 69%
Wu Tsung-hsien 24%
Chen Wan-hui 4.2%
Chang Sheng-te 1.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
69%
Wu Tsung-hsien
24%
Chen Wan-hui
4%
Chang Sheng-te
1%
Lin Kuo-chang 69%
Wu Tsung-hsien 24%
Chen Wan-hui 4.2%
Chang Sheng-te 1.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
$2,733 Wol.
69%
Wu Tsung-hsien
$3,340 Wol.
24%
Chen Wan-hui
$396 Wol.
4%
Chang Sheng-te
$264 Wol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang holds the leading position in the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race due to his established local profile as a long-practicing lawyer, unified Democratic Progressive Party backing after prior factional tensions, and the county’s historical tilt toward the ruling party. Wu Tsung-hsien, the Kuomintang nominee backed by a KMT-Taiwan People’s Party alliance after prevailing in joint polling over Chen Wan-hui, trails amid limited personal connections to Yilan and residual effects from the previous KMT administration’s legal challenges. Recent candidate registration closed on September 4 with five total entrants, including independents, adding minor fragmentation but not shifting the core contest. Public polls consistently show Lin ahead in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios, while opposition coordination and turnout among swing voters remain key variables ahead of election day. Trader consensus prices these factors into the current implied probabilities.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,733Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang holds the leading position in the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race due to his established local profile as a long-practicing lawyer, unified Democratic Progressive Party backing after prior factional tensions, and the county’s historical tilt toward the ruling party. Wu Tsung-hsien, the Kuomintang nominee backed by a KMT-Taiwan People’s Party alliance after prevailing in joint polling over Chen Wan-hui, trails amid limited personal connections to Yilan and residual effects from the previous KMT administration’s legal challenges. Recent candidate registration closed on September 4 with five total entrants, including independents, adding minor fragmentation but not shifting the core contest. Public polls consistently show Lin ahead in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios, while opposition coordination and turnout among swing voters remain key variables ahead of election day. Trader consensus prices these factors into the current implied probabilities.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Wolumen
$6,733Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Lin Kuo-chang holds the leading position in the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race due to his established local profile as a long-practicing lawyer, unified Democratic Progressive Party backing after prior factional tensions, and the county’s historical tilt toward the ruling party. Wu Tsung-hsien, the Kuomintang nominee backed by a KMT-Taiwan People’s Party alliance after prevailing in joint polling over Chen Wan-hui, trails amid limited personal connections to Yilan and residual effects from the previous KMT administration’s legal challenges. Recent candidate registration closed on September 4 with five total entrants, including independents, adding minor fragmentation but not shifting the core contest. Public polls consistently show Lin ahead in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios, while opposition coordination and turnout among swing voters remain key variables ahead of election day. Trader consensus prices these factors into the current implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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