Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and active preparations for an October Nasdaq listing drive the 94.8% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s rapid revenue growth to a reported $47 billion annualized run rate, enterprise traction with Claude models, and banker-led investor meetings have kept its timeline on track despite broader AI market volatility. OpenAI, which filed a week later, has since shifted focus to 2027 after CEO Sam Altman ruled out a 2026 debut, citing internal readiness and infrastructure commitments. While strong trader consensus reflects these confirmed developments, last-minute market conditions, regulatory reviews, or internal adjustments could still alter Anthropic’s schedule before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
95% szansa
$385,740 Wol.
$385,740 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
95% szansa
$385,740 Wol.
$385,740 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and active preparations for an October Nasdaq listing drive the 94.8% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s rapid revenue growth to a reported $47 billion annualized run rate, enterprise traction with Claude models, and banker-led investor meetings have kept its timeline on track despite broader AI market volatility. OpenAI, which filed a week later, has since shifted focus to 2027 after CEO Sam Altman ruled out a 2026 debut, citing internal readiness and infrastructure commitments. While strong trader consensus reflects these confirmed developments, last-minute market conditions, regulatory reviews, or internal adjustments could still alter Anthropic’s schedule before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$385,740Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and active preparations for an October Nasdaq listing drive the 94.8% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s rapid revenue growth to a reported $47 billion annualized run rate, enterprise traction with Claude models, and banker-led investor meetings have kept its timeline on track despite broader AI market volatility. OpenAI, which filed a week later, has since shifted focus to 2027 after CEO Sam Altman ruled out a 2026 debut, citing internal readiness and infrastructure commitments. While strong trader consensus reflects these confirmed developments, last-minute market conditions, regulatory reviews, or internal adjustments could still alter Anthropic’s schedule before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070be91...Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and active preparations for an October Nasdaq listing drive the 94.8% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s rapid revenue growth to a reported $47 billion annualized run rate, enterprise traction with Claude models, and banker-led investor meetings have kept its timeline on track despite broader AI market volatility. OpenAI, which filed a week later, has since shifted focus to 2027 after CEO Sam Altman ruled out a 2026 debut, citing internal readiness and infrastructure commitments. While strong trader consensus reflects these confirmed developments, last-minute market conditions, regulatory reviews, or internal adjustments could still alter Anthropic’s schedule before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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