Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the strong 94% market-implied probability that it will list before OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early June 2026, selected Nasdaq for a potential October debut at up to a $2 trillion valuation, and is finalizing a major credit facility ahead of a mid-October roadshow targeting a pre-midterm listing. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated on September 12 that a 2026 IPO would be “ill-advised” amid heightened focus on AI safety and alignment, shifting the timeline to 2027. Traders view Anthropic’s concrete regulatory and financing steps as decisive near-term catalysts, though realistic risks include further roadshow slips, regulatory reviews, or an unexpected OpenAI acceleration if safety milestones are met quickly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
94% szansa
$366,153 Wol.
$366,153 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
94% szansa
$366,153 Wol.
$366,153 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the strong 94% market-implied probability that it will list before OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early June 2026, selected Nasdaq for a potential October debut at up to a $2 trillion valuation, and is finalizing a major credit facility ahead of a mid-October roadshow targeting a pre-midterm listing. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated on September 12 that a 2026 IPO would be “ill-advised” amid heightened focus on AI safety and alignment, shifting the timeline to 2027. Traders view Anthropic’s concrete regulatory and financing steps as decisive near-term catalysts, though realistic risks include further roadshow slips, regulatory reviews, or an unexpected OpenAI acceleration if safety milestones are met quickly.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$366,153Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the strong 94% market-implied probability that it will list before OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early June 2026, selected Nasdaq for a potential October debut at up to a $2 trillion valuation, and is finalizing a major credit facility ahead of a mid-October roadshow targeting a pre-midterm listing. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated on September 12 that a 2026 IPO would be “ill-advised” amid heightened focus on AI safety and alignment, shifting the timeline to 2027. Traders view Anthropic’s concrete regulatory and financing steps as decisive near-term catalysts, though realistic risks include further roadshow slips, regulatory reviews, or an unexpected OpenAI acceleration if safety milestones are met quickly.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$366,153Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the strong 94% market-implied probability that it will list before OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early June 2026, selected Nasdaq for a potential October debut at up to a $2 trillion valuation, and is finalizing a major credit facility ahead of a mid-October roadshow targeting a pre-midterm listing. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated on September 12 that a 2026 IPO would be “ill-advised” amid heightened focus on AI safety and alignment, shifting the timeline to 2027. Traders view Anthropic’s concrete regulatory and financing steps as decisive near-term catalysts, though realistic risks include further roadshow slips, regulatory reviews, or an unexpected OpenAI acceleration if safety milestones are met quickly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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