Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and other officials have prepared design concepts for a $250 note featuring President Trump to mark the 250th anniversary, but federal law bars living individuals from appearing on currency and requires Congress to authorize any new denomination. Legislation introduced in February 2025 by Rep. Joe Wilson to create the bill and amend the prohibition has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee without hearings or votes, with limited Republican support on Capitol Hill as of mid-2026. Traders assign a 96.9% implied probability to “No” because the legislative calendar leaves little room for passage this year and the Treasury has stated it will not print the note absent enacted law. Late-session action or a sudden procedural breakthrough could still shift the outcome before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3% szansa
$30,531 Wol.
$30,531 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% szansa
$30,531 Wol.
$30,531 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and other officials have prepared design concepts for a $250 note featuring President Trump to mark the 250th anniversary, but federal law bars living individuals from appearing on currency and requires Congress to authorize any new denomination. Legislation introduced in February 2025 by Rep. Joe Wilson to create the bill and amend the prohibition has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee without hearings or votes, with limited Republican support on Capitol Hill as of mid-2026. Traders assign a 96.9% implied probability to “No” because the legislative calendar leaves little room for passage this year and the Treasury has stated it will not print the note absent enacted law. Late-session action or a sudden procedural breakthrough could still shift the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$30,531Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and other officials have prepared design concepts for a $250 note featuring President Trump to mark the 250th anniversary, but federal law bars living individuals from appearing on currency and requires Congress to authorize any new denomination. Legislation introduced in February 2025 by Rep. Joe Wilson to create the bill and amend the prohibition has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee without hearings or votes, with limited Republican support on Capitol Hill as of mid-2026. Traders assign a 96.9% implied probability to “No” because the legislative calendar leaves little room for passage this year and the Treasury has stated it will not print the note absent enacted law. Late-session action or a sudden procedural breakthrough could still shift the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$30,531Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and other officials have prepared design concepts for a $250 note featuring President Trump to mark the 250th anniversary, but federal law bars living individuals from appearing on currency and requires Congress to authorize any new denomination. Legislation introduced in February 2025 by Rep. Joe Wilson to create the bill and amend the prohibition has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee without hearings or votes, with limited Republican support on Capitol Hill as of mid-2026. Traders assign a 96.9% implied probability to “No” because the legislative calendar leaves little room for passage this year and the Treasury has stated it will not print the note absent enacted law. Late-session action or a sudden procedural breakthrough could still shift the outcome before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania