**PP leads the market for Ceuta’s single Congress seat in Spain’s November 29 general election at 78.5 percent, followed by Vox at 19.5 percent and PSOE at 1.6 percent.** Recent local polling averages show PP ahead on roughly 34 percent of the vote, narrowly ahead of Vox near 33 percent and well clear of PSOE around 26 percent, with smaller parties such as Se Acabó La Fiesta and Frente Obrero registering minimal support. This positioning reflects PP’s established base in the enclave, reinforced by its candidate Rafael Martínez Peñalver and local government record, alongside national trends favoring the party. Vox has narrowed the gap through emphasis on border security and immigration following the summer crisis, while PSOE has lost ground. The short campaign period that began November 13 and the absence of a competitive left-wing alternative further consolidate the right-of-center advantage reflected in current trader pricing.