Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District because the rural, R+7 district delivered him a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024 and recent polling continues to show him ahead by roughly six to eleven points. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the July primaries, allowing Crane to reserve more than $2 million in fall advertising while maintaining a clear cash-on-hand advantage. Nez has narrowed the gap by leveraging strong Native American turnout in the 20-percent tribal population and securing DCCC Red-to-Blue resources, but the district’s partisan lean and Crane’s incumbency have kept Republican odds elevated near 68 percent ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
69%
Jonathan Nez (D)
29%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
$2,134 Wol.
69%
Jonathan Nez (D)
$1,474 Wol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District because the rural, R+7 district delivered him a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024 and recent polling continues to show him ahead by roughly six to eleven points. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the July primaries, allowing Crane to reserve more than $2 million in fall advertising while maintaining a clear cash-on-hand advantage. Nez has narrowed the gap by leveraging strong Native American turnout in the 20-percent tribal population and securing DCCC Red-to-Blue resources, but the district’s partisan lean and Crane’s incumbency have kept Republican odds elevated near 68 percent ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,608Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District because the rural, R+7 district delivered him a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024 and recent polling continues to show him ahead by roughly six to eleven points. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the July primaries, allowing Crane to reserve more than $2 million in fall advertising while maintaining a clear cash-on-hand advantage. Nez has narrowed the gap by leveraging strong Native American turnout in the 20-percent tribal population and securing DCCC Red-to-Blue resources, but the district’s partisan lean and Crane’s incumbency have kept Republican odds elevated near 68 percent ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$3,608Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District because the rural, R+7 district delivered him a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024 and recent polling continues to show him ahead by roughly six to eleven points. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the July primaries, allowing Crane to reserve more than $2 million in fall advertising while maintaining a clear cash-on-hand advantage. Nez has narrowed the gap by leveraging strong Native American turnout in the 20-percent tribal population and securing DCCC Red-to-Blue resources, but the district’s partisan lean and Crane’s incumbency have kept Republican odds elevated near 68 percent ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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