Netanyahu remains actively engaged in the final stretch of campaigning ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, with no public statements or actions signaling an intent to withdraw. His Likud-led bloc holds steady in recent polling averages near or slightly above 51–55 seats, supported by alliances with ultra-Orthodox and far-right parties, while he continues efforts to consolidate right-wing votes by pressuring smaller lists near the 3.25 percent threshold. Having completed a full term and rejected earlier calls to resign over October 7 accountability issues, Netanyahu has privately indicated plans to lead Likud regardless of the outcome. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent for “No” reflects this entrenched position and the absence of any recent catalyst for exit. A sudden health event or unprecedented coalition fracture within days could theoretically alter the path, though both remain remote given the short timeline.
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