Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open seat previously held by Democrat Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reflected in the 96.5% trader consensus for Moss over Republican Ethan Baker. Moss’s background as Michigan Senate president pro tempore and his primary performance against multiple challengers underscore established party support and fundraising advantages. Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a district rated safe Democratic by multiple analysts. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp national shifts, or unusually low turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate limited realistic paths for the Republican nominee to prevail on November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$79,042 Wol.
$79,042 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
3%
$79,042 Wol.
$79,042 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
$56,489 Wol.
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
$22,552 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open seat previously held by Democrat Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reflected in the 96.5% trader consensus for Moss over Republican Ethan Baker. Moss’s background as Michigan Senate president pro tempore and his primary performance against multiple challengers underscore established party support and fundraising advantages. Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a district rated safe Democratic by multiple analysts. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp national shifts, or unusually low turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate limited realistic paths for the Republican nominee to prevail on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$79,042Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open seat previously held by Democrat Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reflected in the 96.5% trader consensus for Moss over Republican Ethan Baker. Moss’s background as Michigan Senate president pro tempore and his primary performance against multiple challengers underscore established party support and fundraising advantages. Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a district rated safe Democratic by multiple analysts. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp national shifts, or unusually low turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate limited realistic paths for the Republican nominee to prevail on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$79,042Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open seat previously held by Democrat Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reflected in the 96.5% trader consensus for Moss over Republican Ethan Baker. Moss’s background as Michigan Senate president pro tempore and his primary performance against multiple challengers underscore established party support and fundraising advantages. Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a district rated safe Democratic by multiple analysts. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp national shifts, or unusually low turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate limited realistic paths for the Republican nominee to prevail on November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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