Uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–13°C for Warsaw’s lowest temperature on September 10. Ensemble forecasts from European and global centers show a narrow spread centered near 12°C, reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest advection of cooler maritime air that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima in the city average 11–13°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current consensus. Traders weigh the risk of clearer skies pushing readings toward 10°C or 9°C against slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions favoring 13–14°C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the central station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
11°C 49%
10°C 45%
12°C 43%
14°C 38.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
34%
10°C
45%
11°C
49%
12°C
43%
13°C
46%
14°C
38%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 49%
10°C 45%
12°C 43%
14°C 38.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$12 Wol.
34%
10°C
$0 Wol.
45%
11°C
$0 Wol.
49%
12°C
$5 Wol.
43%
13°C
$4 Wol.
46%
14°C
$25 Wol.
38%
15°C
$174 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$81 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$70 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$60 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$55 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–13°C for Warsaw’s lowest temperature on September 10. Ensemble forecasts from European and global centers show a narrow spread centered near 12°C, reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest advection of cooler maritime air that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima in the city average 11–13°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current consensus. Traders weigh the risk of clearer skies pushing readings toward 10°C or 9°C against slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions favoring 13–14°C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the central station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$487Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–13°C for Warsaw’s lowest temperature on September 10. Ensemble forecasts from European and global centers show a narrow spread centered near 12°C, reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest advection of cooler maritime air that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima in the city average 11–13°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current consensus. Traders weigh the risk of clearer skies pushing readings toward 10°C or 9°C against slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions favoring 13–14°C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the central station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$487Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–13°C for Warsaw’s lowest temperature on September 10. Ensemble forecasts from European and global centers show a narrow spread centered near 12°C, reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest advection of cooler maritime air that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima in the city average 11–13°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current consensus. Traders weigh the risk of clearer skies pushing readings toward 10°C or 9°C against slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions favoring 13–14°C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the central station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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