Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 16–18°C in Milan on September 11, following a frontal passage and rain on the 10th that introduced cooler, moist air. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points around 15–16°C should limit further drops, while any clearer pockets could allow slightly lower readings. The closely matched market odds between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below reflect trader focus on residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of clearing, rather than a shift toward extremes. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, along with official Italian meteorological agency guidance, will refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 11?
12°C or below 84%
22°C or higher 58%
18°C 39%
14°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
84%
13°C
24%
14°C
28%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
22%
18°C
39%
19°C
14%
20°C
10%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
58%
12°C or below 84%
22°C or higher 58%
18°C 39%
14°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Wol.
84%
13°C
$0 Wol.
24%
14°C
$0 Wol.
28%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C
$0 Wol.
23%
17°C
$20 Wol.
22%
18°C
$0 Wol.
39%
19°C
$0 Wol.
14%
20°C
$0 Wol.
10%
21°C
$0 Wol.
5%
22°C or higher
$0 Wol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 16–18°C in Milan on September 11, following a frontal passage and rain on the 10th that introduced cooler, moist air. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points around 15–16°C should limit further drops, while any clearer pockets could allow slightly lower readings. The closely matched market odds between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below reflect trader focus on residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of clearing, rather than a shift toward extremes. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, along with official Italian meteorological agency guidance, will refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 16–18°C in Milan on September 11, following a frontal passage and rain on the 10th that introduced cooler, moist air. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points around 15–16°C should limit further drops, while any clearer pockets could allow slightly lower readings. The closely matched market odds between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below reflect trader focus on residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of clearing, rather than a shift toward extremes. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, along with official Italian meteorological agency guidance, will refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 16–18°C in Milan on September 11, following a frontal passage and rain on the 10th that introduced cooler, moist air. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points around 15–16°C should limit further drops, while any clearer pockets could allow slightly lower readings. The closely matched market odds between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below reflect trader focus on residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of clearing, rather than a shift toward extremes. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, along with official Italian meteorological agency guidance, will refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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