The dominant market positioning on a 76-77°F low for Austin on September 9 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Austin Bergstrom International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 76°F at 6:43 a.m. CDT under clear, calm conditions. This reading aligned with model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that kept dew points elevated. The value exceeded the 1991-2020 normal of 69°F by 7 degrees, consistent with the broader warm pattern across central Texas. Traders assign only slim odds to lower brackets because preliminary climatological reports and nearby station data showed no colder pockets or measurement discrepancies. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution criteria tied to a secondary station, though such adjustments remain uncommon this close to the observation date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 9?
76-77°F 94%
72-73°F 7%
74-75°F 7%
70-71°F 3%
$1,200 Wol.
$1,200 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
94%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 94%
72-73°F 7%
74-75°F 7%
70-71°F 3%
$1,200 Wol.
$1,200 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
69°F or below
$93 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$158 Wol.
3%
72-73°F
$20 Wol.
7%
74-75°F
$10 Wol.
7%
76-77°F
$185 Wol.
94%
78-79°F
$176 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$50 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$80 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$114 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$185 Wol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$129 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market positioning on a 76-77°F low for Austin on September 9 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Austin Bergstrom International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 76°F at 6:43 a.m. CDT under clear, calm conditions. This reading aligned with model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that kept dew points elevated. The value exceeded the 1991-2020 normal of 69°F by 7 degrees, consistent with the broader warm pattern across central Texas. Traders assign only slim odds to lower brackets because preliminary climatological reports and nearby station data showed no colder pockets or measurement discrepancies. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution criteria tied to a secondary station, though such adjustments remain uncommon this close to the observation date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,200Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market positioning on a 76-77°F low for Austin on September 9 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Austin Bergstrom International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 76°F at 6:43 a.m. CDT under clear, calm conditions. This reading aligned with model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that kept dew points elevated. The value exceeded the 1991-2020 normal of 69°F by 7 degrees, consistent with the broader warm pattern across central Texas. Traders assign only slim odds to lower brackets because preliminary climatological reports and nearby station data showed no colder pockets or measurement discrepancies. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution criteria tied to a secondary station, though such adjustments remain uncommon this close to the observation date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,200Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market positioning on a 76-77°F low for Austin on September 9 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Austin Bergstrom International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 76°F at 6:43 a.m. CDT under clear, calm conditions. This reading aligned with model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that kept dew points elevated. The value exceeded the 1991-2020 normal of 69°F by 7 degrees, consistent with the broader warm pattern across central Texas. Traders assign only slim odds to lower brackets because preliminary climatological reports and nearby station data showed no colder pockets or measurement discrepancies. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution criteria tied to a secondary station, though such adjustments remain uncommon this close to the observation date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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