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icon for Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

icon for Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

3% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
3% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Incumbent Democratic senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock face no evident pressures to depart office in 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97% that neither will leave. Ossoff, whose Class 2 seat is contested in the November 2026 general election, advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary and leads Republican challenger Mike Collins in available polling while actively campaigning on constituent services and Georgia-specific issues. Warnock’s Class 3 term runs through January 2029 with no retirement signals or special circumstances reported. High re-election rates for sitting senators and the lack of announced vacancies or health-related exits reinforce the implied probability. Late-breaking developments such as unforeseen resignations, serious scandals, or adverse health events remain the primary variables that could still shift outcomes before year-end.

This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.

Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Wolumen
$1,184
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Incumbent Democratic senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock face no evident pressures to depart office in 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97% that neither will leave. Ossoff, whose Class 2 seat is contested in the November 2026 general election, advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary and leads Republican challenger Mike Collins in available polling while actively campaigning on constituent services and Georgia-specific issues. Warnock’s Class 3 term runs through January 2029 with no retirement signals or special circumstances reported. High re-election rates for sitting senators and the lack of announced vacancies or health-related exits reinforce the implied probability. Late-breaking developments such as unforeseen resignations, serious scandals, or adverse health events remain the primary variables that could still shift outcomes before year-end.

This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.

Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Wolumen
$1,184
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

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"Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 3% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 3¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 3% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jul 14, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

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Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?" to 3% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 3% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

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