The revived Joint List of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, re-formed in August 2026 after prior splits, is polling in the 7-8 seat range ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election. Mid-September surveys show averages near 8 seats, with individual results varying from 6 to 9 depending on the pollster and turnout assumptions. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band, with 8-9 and 6-7 outcomes carrying the highest implied probabilities. Key variables include Arab voter mobilization behind the unified slate, competition from the separate Ra'am list, and the 3.25% threshold, which can shift final mandates by one or two seats. Surplus-vote deals with Ra'am and overall bloc competition between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties add further uncertainty without clear recent catalysts for major movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano8-9 38%
10-11 33%
6-7 24%
<6 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<6
17%
6-7
28%
8-9
38%
10-11
33%
12+
2%
8-9 38%
10-11 33%
6-7 24%
<6 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$391 Wol.
17%
6-7
$236 Wol.
28%
8-9
$1,783 Wol.
38%
10-11
$286 Wol.
33%
12+
$395 Wol.
2%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The revived Joint List of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, re-formed in August 2026 after prior splits, is polling in the 7-8 seat range ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election. Mid-September surveys show averages near 8 seats, with individual results varying from 6 to 9 depending on the pollster and turnout assumptions. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band, with 8-9 and 6-7 outcomes carrying the highest implied probabilities. Key variables include Arab voter mobilization behind the unified slate, competition from the separate Ra'am list, and the 3.25% threshold, which can shift final mandates by one or two seats. Surplus-vote deals with Ra'am and overall bloc competition between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties add further uncertainty without clear recent catalysts for major movement.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,091Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The revived Joint List of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, re-formed in August 2026 after prior splits, is polling in the 7-8 seat range ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election. Mid-September surveys show averages near 8 seats, with individual results varying from 6 to 9 depending on the pollster and turnout assumptions. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band, with 8-9 and 6-7 outcomes carrying the highest implied probabilities. Key variables include Arab voter mobilization behind the unified slate, competition from the separate Ra'am list, and the 3.25% threshold, which can shift final mandates by one or two seats. Surplus-vote deals with Ra'am and overall bloc competition between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties add further uncertainty without clear recent catalysts for major movement.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$3,091Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The revived Joint List of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, re-formed in August 2026 after prior splits, is polling in the 7-8 seat range ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election. Mid-September surveys show averages near 8 seats, with individual results varying from 6 to 9 depending on the pollster and turnout assumptions. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band, with 8-9 and 6-7 outcomes carrying the highest implied probabilities. Key variables include Arab voter mobilization behind the unified slate, competition from the separate Ra'am list, and the 3.25% threshold, which can shift final mandates by one or two seats. Surplus-vote deals with Ra'am and overall bloc competition between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties add further uncertainty without clear recent catalysts for major movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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