Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026 have centered on strikes targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and Strait of Hormuz threats, with a June memorandum of understanding briefly pausing large-scale fighting before collapsing amid renewed tit-for-tat actions in July through early September. US Central Command has conducted limited, precise operations against IRGC maritime and missile capabilities in response to alleged Iranian attacks on shipping, while Iran has fired missiles and drones at regional US positions. The Trump administration has combined these steps with expanded sanctions and diplomatic channels through Oman and others, without seeking congressional authorization for broader hostilities. Congress has considered War Powers measures, and November midterms could influence policy continuity. These patterns of calibrated engagement and economic pressure, rather than escalation to formal declaration, shape trader assessments of near-term outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
Czy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
$7,815,094 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 grudnia
2%
$7,815,094 Wol.
31 grudnia
$842,459 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026 have centered on strikes targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and Strait of Hormuz threats, with a June memorandum of understanding briefly pausing large-scale fighting before collapsing amid renewed tit-for-tat actions in July through early September. US Central Command has conducted limited, precise operations against IRGC maritime and missile capabilities in response to alleged Iranian attacks on shipping, while Iran has fired missiles and drones at regional US positions. The Trump administration has combined these steps with expanded sanctions and diplomatic channels through Oman and others, without seeking congressional authorization for broader hostilities. Congress has considered War Powers measures, and November midterms could influence policy continuity. These patterns of calibrated engagement and economic pressure, rather than escalation to formal declaration, shape trader assessments of near-term outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,815,094Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026 have centered on strikes targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and Strait of Hormuz threats, with a June memorandum of understanding briefly pausing large-scale fighting before collapsing amid renewed tit-for-tat actions in July through early September. US Central Command has conducted limited, precise operations against IRGC maritime and missile capabilities in response to alleged Iranian attacks on shipping, while Iran has fired missiles and drones at regional US positions. The Trump administration has combined these steps with expanded sanctions and diplomatic channels through Oman and others, without seeking congressional authorization for broader hostilities. Congress has considered War Powers measures, and November midterms could influence policy continuity. These patterns of calibrated engagement and economic pressure, rather than escalation to formal declaration, shape trader assessments of near-term outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$7,815,094Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since February 2026 have centered on strikes targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and Strait of Hormuz threats, with a June memorandum of understanding briefly pausing large-scale fighting before collapsing amid renewed tit-for-tat actions in July through early September. US Central Command has conducted limited, precise operations against IRGC maritime and missile capabilities in response to alleged Iranian attacks on shipping, while Iran has fired missiles and drones at regional US positions. The Trump administration has combined these steps with expanded sanctions and diplomatic channels through Oman and others, without seeking congressional authorization for broader hostilities. Congress has considered War Powers measures, and November midterms could influence policy continuity. These patterns of calibrated engagement and economic pressure, rather than escalation to formal declaration, shape trader assessments of near-term outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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