**Clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong solar heating under high pressure are positioning Munich for a maximum temperature near 25°C on September 15, 2026.** Multiple forecast sources, including GFS-based runs and station guidance, indicate afternoon highs of 24–26°C (75–79°F) with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, well above the 1991–2020 September 15 average high of 19.6°C. Light winds from the east or southeast limit mixing while allowing daytime warming, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture supports the consensus peak. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C (69.5%) over 24°C (21.5%) or 26°C (9.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the most probable outcome from current model guidance. Official resolution will depend on the German Weather Service (DWD) station reading for the daily maximum; any last-minute increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the high nearer 24°C, while clearer or warmer advection would favor 26°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 15?
25°C 70%
24°C 21%
26°C 11%
27°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
21%
25°C
70%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 70%
24°C 21%
26°C 11%
27°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
21%
25°C
70%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong solar heating under high pressure are positioning Munich for a maximum temperature near 25°C on September 15, 2026.** Multiple forecast sources, including GFS-based runs and station guidance, indicate afternoon highs of 24–26°C (75–79°F) with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, well above the 1991–2020 September 15 average high of 19.6°C. Light winds from the east or southeast limit mixing while allowing daytime warming, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture supports the consensus peak. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C (69.5%) over 24°C (21.5%) or 26°C (9.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the most probable outcome from current model guidance. Official resolution will depend on the German Weather Service (DWD) station reading for the daily maximum; any last-minute increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the high nearer 24°C, while clearer or warmer advection would favor 26°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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