Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate that a Canadian high-pressure system building into the Northeast will deliver cooler, drier air behind Sunday’s cold front, limiting afternoon temperatures in New York City to the mid-70s on September 14. Northwest winds of 10–15 mph will enhance mixing and suppress warming despite clear skies, while dew points dropping into the 40s–50s reduce humidity and heat retention. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on a daily maximum near 74–75 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that bin. Minor upside risk to 76–77 °F exists only if winds weaken more than expected, but the strong consensus on radiative cooling and cold-air advection keeps higher outcomes at low implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on September 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 14?
74-75°F 55%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 5%
78-79°F 4%
NOWE
$21,929 Wol.
NOWE
$21,929 Wol.
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
55%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 55%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 5%
78-79°F 4%
NOWE
$21,929 Wol.
NOWE
$21,929 Wol.
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
$246 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$228 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$418 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$651 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$1,604 Wol.
5%
74-75°F
$6,568 Wol.
55%
76-77°F
$5,328 Wol.
40%
78-79°F
$4,151 Wol.
4%
80-81°F
$914 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,582 Wol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$238 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate that a Canadian high-pressure system building into the Northeast will deliver cooler, drier air behind Sunday’s cold front, limiting afternoon temperatures in New York City to the mid-70s on September 14. Northwest winds of 10–15 mph will enhance mixing and suppress warming despite clear skies, while dew points dropping into the 40s–50s reduce humidity and heat retention. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on a daily maximum near 74–75 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that bin. Minor upside risk to 76–77 °F exists only if winds weaken more than expected, but the strong consensus on radiative cooling and cold-air advection keeps higher outcomes at low implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,929Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate that a Canadian high-pressure system building into the Northeast will deliver cooler, drier air behind Sunday’s cold front, limiting afternoon temperatures in New York City to the mid-70s on September 14. Northwest winds of 10–15 mph will enhance mixing and suppress warming despite clear skies, while dew points dropping into the 40s–50s reduce humidity and heat retention. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on a daily maximum near 74–75 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that bin. Minor upside risk to 76–77 °F exists only if winds weaken more than expected, but the strong consensus on radiative cooling and cold-air advection keeps higher outcomes at low implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$21,929Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate that a Canadian high-pressure system building into the Northeast will deliver cooler, drier air behind Sunday’s cold front, limiting afternoon temperatures in New York City to the mid-70s on September 14. Northwest winds of 10–15 mph will enhance mixing and suppress warming despite clear skies, while dew points dropping into the 40s–50s reduce humidity and heat retention. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on a daily maximum near 74–75 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that bin. Minor upside risk to 76–77 °F exists only if winds weaken more than expected, but the strong consensus on radiative cooling and cold-air advection keeps higher outcomes at low implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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