Recent weather model consensus, including GFS guidance, supports overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 8°C as the most probable minimum for Munich on September 15. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while the mid-September climatological baseline of roughly 10°C provides context for this slightly below-average reading. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the low teens Celsius into the evening, consistent with the market-implied 69% probability on 8°C versus minimal odds on colder thresholds. Final DWD station data will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 15?
8°C 100%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$4,126 Wol.
$4,126 Wol.
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$4,126 Wol.
$4,126 Wol.
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
$26 Wol.
No
5°C
$256 Wol.
No
6°C
$409 Wol.
No
7°C
$155 Wol.
No
8°C
$2,857 Wol.
Yes
9°C
$123 Wol.
No
10°C
$86 Wol.
No
11°C
$70 Wol.
No
12°C
$80 Wol.
No
13°C
$32 Wol.
No
14°C or higher
$32 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus, including GFS guidance, supports overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 8°C as the most probable minimum for Munich on September 15. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while the mid-September climatological baseline of roughly 10°C provides context for this slightly below-average reading. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the low teens Celsius into the evening, consistent with the market-implied 69% probability on 8°C versus minimal odds on colder thresholds. Final DWD station data will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,126Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus, including GFS guidance, supports overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 8°C as the most probable minimum for Munich on September 15. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while the mid-September climatological baseline of roughly 10°C provides context for this slightly below-average reading. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the low teens Celsius into the evening, consistent with the market-implied 69% probability on 8°C versus minimal odds on colder thresholds. Final DWD station data will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,126Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent weather model consensus, including GFS guidance, supports overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 8°C as the most probable minimum for Munich on September 15. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while the mid-September climatological baseline of roughly 10°C provides context for this slightly below-average reading. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the low teens Celsius into the evening, consistent with the market-implied 69% probability on 8°C versus minimal odds on colder thresholds. Final DWD station data will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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