Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high in Manila on September 18 due to official PAGASA forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 32–33°C amid southwest monsoon conditions, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where typical highs range 30–32°C under high humidity and light winds that limit extreme heating yet permit afternoon peaks near 33°C before convective activity develops. Model runs and station observations, including a recorded 31.2°C maximum through early afternoon in nearby Quezon City, reinforce the narrow outcome band. Clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings higher, while heavier rain earlier in the day might cap the peak below 33°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 18?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$41,995 Wol.
$41,995 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$41,995 Wol.
$41,995 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$674 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,315 Wol.
No
30°C
$3,545 Wol.
No
31°C
$7,435 Wol.
No
32°C
$5,218 Wol.
No
33°C
$15,866 Wol.
Yes
34°C
$3,607 Wol.
No
35°C
$2,627 Wol.
No
36°C
$1,254 Wol.
No
37°C
$199 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$255 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high in Manila on September 18 due to official PAGASA forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 32–33°C amid southwest monsoon conditions, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where typical highs range 30–32°C under high humidity and light winds that limit extreme heating yet permit afternoon peaks near 33°C before convective activity develops. Model runs and station observations, including a recorded 31.2°C maximum through early afternoon in nearby Quezon City, reinforce the narrow outcome band. Clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings higher, while heavier rain earlier in the day might cap the peak below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,995Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high in Manila on September 18 due to official PAGASA forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 32–33°C amid southwest monsoon conditions, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where typical highs range 30–32°C under high humidity and light winds that limit extreme heating yet permit afternoon peaks near 33°C before convective activity develops. Model runs and station observations, including a recorded 31.2°C maximum through early afternoon in nearby Quezon City, reinforce the narrow outcome band. Clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings higher, while heavier rain earlier in the day might cap the peak below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$41,995Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high in Manila on September 18 due to official PAGASA forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 32–33°C amid southwest monsoon conditions, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where typical highs range 30–32°C under high humidity and light winds that limit extreme heating yet permit afternoon peaks near 33°C before convective activity develops. Model runs and station observations, including a recorded 31.2°C maximum through early afternoon in nearby Quezon City, reinforce the narrow outcome band. Clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings higher, while heavier rain earlier in the day might cap the peak below 33°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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