Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring Sichuan province indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Chengdu on September 16, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and daytime heating under a weakening monsoon influence that allowed temperatures to peak in the mid-20s Celsius. Historical September baselines for the region average near 25°C, with current runs showing minimal deviation and low precipitation limiting cooling effects. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds near certainty for 26°C. Unlikely shifts could arise only from late-day measurement revisions or unforecasted cloud cover intensifying, though model agreement and real-time station readings make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
26°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$80,875 Wol.
$80,875 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
26°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$80,875 Wol.
$80,875 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
$494 Wol.
No
19°C
$2,421 Wol.
No
20°C
$3,072 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,223 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,896 Wol.
No
23°C
$8,060 Wol.
No
24°C
$14,666 Wol.
No
25°C
$12,896 Wol.
No
26°C
$10,747 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$11,297 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$10,102 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring Sichuan province indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Chengdu on September 16, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and daytime heating under a weakening monsoon influence that allowed temperatures to peak in the mid-20s Celsius. Historical September baselines for the region average near 25°C, with current runs showing minimal deviation and low precipitation limiting cooling effects. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds near certainty for 26°C. Unlikely shifts could arise only from late-day measurement revisions or unforecasted cloud cover intensifying, though model agreement and real-time station readings make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$80,875Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring Sichuan province indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Chengdu on September 16, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and daytime heating under a weakening monsoon influence that allowed temperatures to peak in the mid-20s Celsius. Historical September baselines for the region average near 25°C, with current runs showing minimal deviation and low precipitation limiting cooling effects. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds near certainty for 26°C. Unlikely shifts could arise only from late-day measurement revisions or unforecasted cloud cover intensifying, though model agreement and real-time station readings make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$80,875Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring Sichuan province indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Chengdu on September 16, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and daytime heating under a weakening monsoon influence that allowed temperatures to peak in the mid-20s Celsius. Historical September baselines for the region average near 25°C, with current runs showing minimal deviation and low precipitation limiting cooling effects. This alignment underpins the market-implied odds near certainty for 26°C. Unlikely shifts could arise only from late-day measurement revisions or unforecasted cloud cover intensifying, though model agreement and real-time station readings make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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