Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's September 18 high will likely peak in the low to mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies following today's widespread rain and thunderstorms. This setup favors 22°C or 23°C as the most probable outcomes, with modest warming limited by lingering moisture, light northeasterly flow, and reduced solar insolation from variable cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, as ensemble spreads and local microclimate effects create genuine uncertainty around the precise maximum, while historical September baselines near 24–26°C provide context for the current cooler anomaly. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on September 18?
22°C 38%
23°C 29%
21°C 20%
24°C 15%
$18,421 Wol.
$18,421 Wol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
20%
22°C
38%
23°C
29%
24°C
15%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 38%
23°C 29%
21°C 20%
24°C 15%
$18,421 Wol.
$18,421 Wol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
20%
22°C
38%
23°C
29%
24°C
15%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's September 18 high will likely peak in the low to mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies following today's widespread rain and thunderstorms. This setup favors 22°C or 23°C as the most probable outcomes, with modest warming limited by lingering moisture, light northeasterly flow, and reduced solar insolation from variable cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, as ensemble spreads and local microclimate effects create genuine uncertainty around the precise maximum, while historical September baselines near 24–26°C provide context for the current cooler anomaly. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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