Institutional and procedural barriers in Brazil’s Senate explain the near-certain trader consensus against any STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027. Over 100 pending requests, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid the ongoing Banco Master investigation and internal court disputes, have stalled under Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, who has declined to advance them. Opposition proposals to bypass the presidency via 49 signatures or fixed deadlines face uncertain passage, while the chamber’s three-fifths threshold and layered review process require sustained political momentum. No STF justice has ever been removed this way, and the compressed timeline to year-end leaves little room for completion even if tensions escalate further. Late-breaking shifts in Senate control after October elections or a sudden surge in cross-party support could still alter the trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano4% szansa
$91,769 Wol.
$91,769 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% szansa
$91,769 Wol.
$91,769 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Institutional and procedural barriers in Brazil’s Senate explain the near-certain trader consensus against any STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027. Over 100 pending requests, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid the ongoing Banco Master investigation and internal court disputes, have stalled under Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, who has declined to advance them. Opposition proposals to bypass the presidency via 49 signatures or fixed deadlines face uncertain passage, while the chamber’s three-fifths threshold and layered review process require sustained political momentum. No STF justice has ever been removed this way, and the compressed timeline to year-end leaves little room for completion even if tensions escalate further. Late-breaking shifts in Senate control after October elections or a sudden surge in cross-party support could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$91,769Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Institutional and procedural barriers in Brazil’s Senate explain the near-certain trader consensus against any STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027. Over 100 pending requests, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid the ongoing Banco Master investigation and internal court disputes, have stalled under Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, who has declined to advance them. Opposition proposals to bypass the presidency via 49 signatures or fixed deadlines face uncertain passage, while the chamber’s three-fifths threshold and layered review process require sustained political momentum. No STF justice has ever been removed this way, and the compressed timeline to year-end leaves little room for completion even if tensions escalate further. Late-breaking shifts in Senate control after October elections or a sudden surge in cross-party support could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$91,769Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Institutional and procedural barriers in Brazil’s Senate explain the near-certain trader consensus against any STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027. Over 100 pending requests, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid the ongoing Banco Master investigation and internal court disputes, have stalled under Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, who has declined to advance them. Opposition proposals to bypass the presidency via 49 signatures or fixed deadlines face uncertain passage, while the chamber’s three-fifths threshold and layered review process require sustained political momentum. No STF justice has ever been removed this way, and the compressed timeline to year-end leaves little room for completion even if tensions escalate further. Late-breaking shifts in Senate control after October elections or a sudden surge in cross-party support could still alter the trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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