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トランプ大統領と習主席は首脳会談でキスをするか?

icon for トランプ大統領と習主席は首脳会談でキスをするか?

トランプ大統領と習主席は首脳会談でキスをするか?

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket
新規
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Diplomatic protocols and established norms for US-China summits make any physical gesture like a kiss between the US president and Chinese leader highly improbable. Bilateral meetings between these heads of state follow strict security, media, and ceremonial guidelines shaped by decades of precedent, with public interactions limited to handshakes, joint statements, and formal dinners. Trader consensus at 98.9% reflects this structural reality rather than specific polling. Even amid ongoing trade or geopolitical tensions, no recent developments have altered these boundaries. Rare variables that could theoretically shift odds include private off-camera moments captured unexpectedly or major protocol breaches, though such events remain outside historical patterns for either leader's public engagements.

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.

A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.

This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
音量
$3,138
終了日
2026/10/08
マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Diplomatic protocols and established norms for US-China summits make any physical gesture like a kiss between the US president and Chinese leader highly improbable. Bilateral meetings between these heads of state follow strict security, media, and ceremonial guidelines shaped by decades of precedent, with public interactions limited to handshakes, joint statements, and formal dinners. Trader consensus at 98.9% reflects this structural reality rather than specific polling. Even amid ongoing trade or geopolitical tensions, no recent developments have altered these boundaries. Rare variables that could theoretically shift odds include private off-camera moments captured unexpectedly or major protocol breaches, though such events remain outside historical patterns for either leader's public engagements.

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.

A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.

This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
音量
$3,138
終了日
2026/10/08
マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領と習主席は首脳会談でキスをするか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプ氏と習氏は首脳会談でキスをしますか?」で1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ大統領と習主席は首脳会談でキスをするか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 16, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ大統領と習主席は首脳会談でキスをするか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ大統領と習主席は首脳会談でキスをするか?」の現在のリーダーは「トランプ氏と習氏は首脳会談でキスをしますか?」でわずか1%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

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