**Israeli settlement expansion and administrative measures in the West Bank have accelerated in 2026 through tenders for thousands of housing units, including major E1 projects that fragment Palestinian territory, alongside land registration reforms and expanded Civil Administration authority.** These steps advance de facto control without formal legislative annexation of sovereignty. With Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for late October 2026, the current government has prioritized irreversible facts on the ground ahead of a potential transition. U.S. opposition to formal annexation, combined with the short remaining timeline before 2027 and the procedural requirements for Knesset approval of sovereignty measures, supports trader consensus that legal incorporation of territory remains unlikely. International diplomatic pressure and focus on ongoing settlement activity further reinforce the low implied probability of formal annexation by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$90,952 Vol.
$90,952 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
6% 確率
$90,952 Vol.
$90,952 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israeli settlement expansion and administrative measures in the West Bank have accelerated in 2026 through tenders for thousands of housing units, including major E1 projects that fragment Palestinian territory, alongside land registration reforms and expanded Civil Administration authority.** These steps advance de facto control without formal legislative annexation of sovereignty. With Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for late October 2026, the current government has prioritized irreversible facts on the ground ahead of a potential transition. U.S. opposition to formal annexation, combined with the short remaining timeline before 2027 and the procedural requirements for Knesset approval of sovereignty measures, supports trader consensus that legal incorporation of territory remains unlikely. International diplomatic pressure and focus on ongoing settlement activity further reinforce the low implied probability of formal annexation by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$90,952終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israeli settlement expansion and administrative measures in the West Bank have accelerated in 2026 through tenders for thousands of housing units, including major E1 projects that fragment Palestinian territory, alongside land registration reforms and expanded Civil Administration authority.** These steps advance de facto control without formal legislative annexation of sovereignty. With Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for late October 2026, the current government has prioritized irreversible facts on the ground ahead of a potential transition. U.S. opposition to formal annexation, combined with the short remaining timeline before 2027 and the procedural requirements for Knesset approval of sovereignty measures, supports trader consensus that legal incorporation of territory remains unlikely. International diplomatic pressure and focus on ongoing settlement activity further reinforce the low implied probability of formal annexation by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$90,952終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Israeli settlement expansion and administrative measures in the West Bank have accelerated in 2026 through tenders for thousands of housing units, including major E1 projects that fragment Palestinian territory, alongside land registration reforms and expanded Civil Administration authority.** These steps advance de facto control without formal legislative annexation of sovereignty. With Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for late October 2026, the current government has prioritized irreversible facts on the ground ahead of a potential transition. U.S. opposition to formal annexation, combined with the short remaining timeline before 2027 and the procedural requirements for Knesset approval of sovereignty measures, supports trader consensus that legal incorporation of territory remains unlikely. International diplomatic pressure and focus on ongoing settlement activity further reinforce the low implied probability of formal annexation by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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